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比利时vs摩洛哥足彩 ,
university of california san diego

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math 196/296 - student colloquium

ery arias-castro

ucsd

searching for a trail of evidence in a maze

abstract:

suppose we observe a security network composed of sensors with each sensor returning a value indicating whether the sensor is at risk (high value) or not (low value). a typical attack leaves a trail where the sensors return higher-than-normal values. the goal is to detect a possible attack. within a simplified framework, we will see that if the sensor do not return high-enough values (we will quantify that), then detection is impossible. formal abstract: consider the complete regular binary tree of depth m oriented from the root to the leaves. to each node we associate a random variable and those variables are assumed to be independent. under the null hypothesis, these random variables have the standard normal distribution while under the alternative, there is a path from the root to a leaf along which the nodes have the normal distribution with mean a and variance 1, and the standard normal distribution away from the path. we show that, as m increases, the hypotheses become separable if, and only if, a is larger than the square root of 2 ln 2. we obtain corresponding results for other graphs and other distributions. the concept of predictability profile plays a crucial role in our analysis. joint work with emmanuel candes, hannes helgason and ofer zeitouni.

october 25, 2007

12:00 pm

ap&m b402a

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