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比利时vs摩洛哥足彩 ,
university of california san diego

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probability seminar

ery arias-castro

ucsd

searching for a trail of evidence in a maze

abstract:

consider the complete regular binary tree of depth m oriented from the root to the leaves. to each node we associate a random variable and those variables are assumed to be independent. under the null hypothesis, these random variables have the standard normal distribution while under the alternative, there is a path from the root to a leaf along which the nodes have the normal distribution with mean a and variance 1, and the standard normal distribution away from the path. we show that, as m increases, the hypotheses become separable if, and only if, a is larger than the square root of 2 ln 2. we obtain corresponding results for other graphs and other distributions. the concept of predictability profile plays a crucial role in our analysis. joint work with emmanuel candes, hannes helgason and ofer zeitouni.

january 18, 2007

9:00 am

ap&m 6402

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