printable pdf
比利时vs摩洛哥足彩
,
比利时vs摩洛哥足彩
,
university of california san diego
****************************
probability seminar
priscilla greenwood
arizona state university
autonomous stochastic resonance produces epidemic oscillations of fluctuating size
abstract:
it is known from simulations that stochastic epidemic models such as sir, sirs produce sustained oscillations, whereas the corresponding deterministic models produce damped oscillations. we use multiscale analysis to identify a parameter range in which stochastic sir is approximated by a stochastic combination of sinusoids, where the coefficient processes run on a slow time scale. ornstein-uhlenbeck excursions form an envelope of the epidemic oscillations.
host: ruth williams
november 2, 2006
9:00 am
ap&m 6402
****************************